NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST AAMU
Points 70.0 66.5
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 9.4
Points From Free Throws 22.0 23.2
Shooting TNST AAMU
Field Goals Made 20.9 20.1
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 49.7
Field Goal % 41.3% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 3.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 11.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 22.0 23.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.9 32.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 72.3%
Ball Control TNST AAMU
Rebounds 33.9 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.1
Turnovers 14.7 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 7.8 7.8
Fouls 20.3 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST AAMU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 69.9
% of Possessions with TNST AAMU
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 13.4%
Player Fouled 26.7% 27.7%
Turnover 20.1% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST AAMU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 31.8%