NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM UGA
Points 79.5 79.1
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 32.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.9
Shooting MEM UGA
Field Goals Made 28.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 62.0
Field Goal % 45.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 19.4
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.6%
Ball Control MEM UGA
Rebounds 38.2 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.9
Steals 7.3 6.1
Fouls 15.6 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM UGA
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 73.8
% of Possessions with MEM UGA
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 34.1%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.7%
Turnover 15.2% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM UGA
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 28.8%