NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN YALE
Points 71.7 72.4
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.7 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 9.7
Shooting PRIN YALE
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 55.9
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.5 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 13.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 69.8%
Ball Control PRIN YALE
Rebounds 29.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 7.0
Turnovers 7.0 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 4.6 4.0
Fouls 12.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN YALE
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 64.7
% of Possessions with PRIN YALE
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 40.0% 27.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.5%
Turnover 10.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN YALE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 22.9%