NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM AAMU
Points 67.1 63.2
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 10.7
Points From Free Throws 18.9 17.6
Shooting GRAM AAMU
Field Goals Made 21.4 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 52.5
Field Goal % 40.9% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 12.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 18.9 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 24.4
Free Throw % 70.7% 72.3%
Ball Control GRAM AAMU
Rebounds 34.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.6
Turnovers 12.6 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 8.7 6.6
Fouls 15.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM AAMU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 68.3
% of Possessions with GRAM AAMU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 15.4%
Player Fouled 23.7% 22.4%
Turnover 17.8% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM AAMU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 32.8%