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Towson vs. Buffalo
Fri Nov 27, 2020
4:30pm ET
Hartford, CT
(Neutral Site)
Towson vs. Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 8, Total Points: 152
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOWS | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-1 | 12-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-1 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-4-1 | 3-11-0 | |
| Away | 10-10-0 | 9-7-0 |
Towson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Colorado | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Coppin St | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Rob Morris | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Houston | +20.5 | L by 16 | +4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | North Texas | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Morgan St | -12.0 | W by 9 | -3.0 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | U Mass | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Maryland BC | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Bryant | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Nicholls | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Arcadia | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 01/04 | Away | Monmouth | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Stony Brook | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Northeastrn | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Col Charlestn | +11.0 | W by 4 | +15.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Campbell | -8.0 | W by 34 | +26.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Drexel | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Delaware | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Northeastrn | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Hofstra | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Delaware | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Elon | -9.5 | W by 25 | +15.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Wm & Mary | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Hampton | -11.0 | L by 6 | -17.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Monmouth | -7.0 | W by 19 | +12.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Col Charlestn | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | NC A&T | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | NC-Wilmgton | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Wm & Mary | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | NC-Wilmgton | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Roberts Wesleyan | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Iona | +6.5 | L by 25 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | James Mad | +23.5 | L by 15 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | St Bonavent | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Butler | +24.5 | L by 13 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Niagara | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Central Mich | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Michigan | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Akron | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Toledo | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 28 | -26.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Michigan | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio | +13.5 | L by 21 | -7.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Kent St | +8.0 | L by 31 | -23.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Bowling Grn | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | GA Southern | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Akron | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | E Michigan | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | W Michigan | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Kent St | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Toledo | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Ohio | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | N Illinois | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| BUFF -8.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2492 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1907 times (76.5%).
- The team like Towson won the game 585 times (23.5%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1235-1217-40 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Towson did better against the spread, going 2-1 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/27 04:28 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/27 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 11/27 04:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/27 02:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 02:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/27 12:23 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/27 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/27 10:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/27 10:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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