NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS BUFF
Points 73.6 59.5
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 18.9
Points From Free Throws 13.6 10.5
Shooting TOWS BUFF
Field Goals Made 26.6 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 55.1
Field Goal % 42.1% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 14.7
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.6%
Ball Control TOWS BUFF
Rebounds 45.8 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 17.9 7.7
Turnovers 9.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 6.5 5.2
Fouls 13.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS BUFF
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 63.8
% of Possessions with TOWS BUFF
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 19.1%
Turnover 14.0% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS BUFF
Shot Blocked 8.3% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 44.5% 21.6%