NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS UVA
Points 52.7 59.9
Total Points   112.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 18.2
Points From Free Throws 9.7 9.2
Shooting TOWS UVA
Field Goals Made 18.8 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.7
Field Goal % 34.6% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 9.7 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 14.9
Free Throw % 66.3% 62.1%
Ball Control TOWS UVA
Rebounds 40.5 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.0
Turnovers 11.5 6.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.8
Steals 4.2 6.4
Fouls 12.7 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS UVA
Total Possessions 61.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 63.0
% of Possessions with TOWS UVA
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 23.9%
Player Fouled 17.6% 20.5%
Turnover 18.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS UVA
Shot Blocked 10.9% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 22.8%