NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO WSU
Points 56.8 77.5
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 19.0
Points From Free Throws 11.8 17.4
Shooting TXSO WSU
Field Goals Made 19.9 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 56.2
Field Goal % 33.9% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 36.5% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 11.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 24.5
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.0%
Ball Control TXSO WSU
Rebounds 29.2 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.3
Turnovers 9.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.0
Steals 5.2 4.5
Fouls 17.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wash State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO WSU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 71.7
% of Possessions with TXSO WSU
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 23.2%
Player Fouled 19.3% 24.9%
Turnover 14.2% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO WSU
Shot Blocked 9.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 36.7%