NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST CHS
Points 68.3 68.3
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 15.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 20.8
Shooting TNST CHS
Field Goals Made 23.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 49.6 51.7
Field Goal % 46.8% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 29.4
Free Throw % 76.1% 70.5%
Ball Control TNST CHS
Rebounds 31.8 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 19.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 13.1
Turnovers 15.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.6 8.9
Fouls 17.7 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST CHS
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 70.5
% of Possessions with TNST CHS
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 21.0%
Player Fouled 24.2% 25.5%
Turnover 21.9% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST CHS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 36.8%