NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO WYO
Points 68.2 75.4
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.3 20.2
Shooting TXSO WYO
Field Goals Made 24.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 53.0
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 11.3 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 26.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.2%
Ball Control TXSO WYO
Rebounds 33.3 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.5
Turnovers 10.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.2
Steals 7.0 4.5
Fouls 19.4 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO WYO
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.1
% of Possessions with TXSO WYO
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 26.9%
Player Fouled 18.2% 27.6%
Turnover 14.2% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO WYO
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 29.2%