NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO SDAK
Points 77.5 73.8
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 23.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 16.1
Shooting TXSO SDAK
Field Goals Made 28.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 56.0
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 21.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 76.4%
Ball Control TXSO SDAK
Rebounds 36.4 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.7
Turnovers 7.1 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.3
Steals 6.9 2.8
Fouls 16.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: TX Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO SDAK
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 68.8
% of Possessions with TXSO SDAK
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 26.8%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.8%
Turnover 9.7% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 3.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO SDAK
Shot Blocked 2.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 25.9%