NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST MVSU
Points 75.1 58.5
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 16.3
Points From Free Throws 16.7 11.2
Shooting JKST MVSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 52.6
Field Goal % 45.1% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 16.7 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 17.0
Free Throw % 71.9% 66.0%
Ball Control JKST MVSU
Rebounds 39.3 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 9.1
Turnovers 10.8 14.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.6
Steals 8.5 6.2
Fouls 14.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST MVSU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 63.6
% of Possessions with JKST MVSU
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 21.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.2%
Turnover 15.5% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST MVSU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 38.8% 26.2%