NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM MVSU
Points 71.1 53.2
Total Points   124.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 13.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 11.1
Shooting GRAM MVSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 18.9
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 51.8
Field Goal % 47.8% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 16.9 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 16.9
Free Throw % 70.7% 66.0%
Ball Control GRAM MVSU
Rebounds 36.1 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.7
Turnovers 11.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.2
Steals 8.1 6.2
Fouls 13.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM MVSU
Total Possessions 67.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 62.8
% of Possessions with GRAM MVSU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 19.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.6%
Turnover 16.4% 20.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM MVSU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 27.0%