NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU WAKE
Points 72.1 78.9
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 24.1
Points From Free Throws 14.8 16.3
Shooting LSU WAKE
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 57.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 20.6
Free Throw % 73.3% 79.2%
Ball Control LSU WAKE
Rebounds 32.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.8
Turnovers 12.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 6.5 7.0
Fouls 16.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU WAKE
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 69.5
% of Possessions with LSU WAKE
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.5%
Turnover 16.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU WAKE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.1%