NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS SF
Points 59.0 68.0
Total Points   127.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 22.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 10.5
Shooting TOWS SF
Field Goals Made 19.1 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 55.5
Field Goal % 37.9% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.0 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 14.1
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.2%
Ball Control TOWS SF
Rebounds 34.6 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.4
Turnovers 12.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.1
Steals 5.0 7.1
Fouls 14.1 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS SF
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 64.4
% of Possessions with TOWS SF
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.2%
Turnover 18.7% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS SF
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 25.8%