NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN DUQ
Points 68.0 70.5
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 13.7 10.8
Shooting PRIN DUQ
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.4
Field Goal % 42.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 14.7
Free Throw % 78.3% 73.4%
Ball Control PRIN DUQ
Rebounds 29.5 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.6
Turnovers 8.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.6
Steals 5.3 5.1
Fouls 12.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN DUQ
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 63.9
% of Possessions with PRIN DUQ
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 35.1% 28.5%
Player Fouled 23.6% 19.5%
Turnover 12.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN DUQ
Shot Blocked 6.8% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.1%