NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS JMU
Points 63.9 71.2
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 22.6
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.1
Shooting TOWS JMU
Field Goals Made 21.5 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.6
Field Goal % 40.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 20.3
Free Throw % 66.3% 69.7%
Ball Control TOWS JMU
Rebounds 38.9 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.2
Turnovers 12.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.1
Steals 5.1 7.5
Fouls 15.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS JMU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 68.5
% of Possessions with TOWS JMU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 26.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.5%
Turnover 18.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS JMU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 26.3%