NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC SMC
Points 53.5 86.7
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 12.7 25.7
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.5
Shooting PAC SMC
Field Goals Made 18.1 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 58.7
Field Goal % 36.7% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 64.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.6
Free Throw % 65.1% 67.1%
Ball Control PAC SMC
Rebounds 21.0 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 17.2 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 3.9 14.1
Turnovers 10.5 8.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.7
Steals 4.3 6.4
Fouls 14.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC SMC
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 60.4 72.8
% of Possessions with PAC SMC
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 25.9% 21.9%
Turnover 15.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC SMC
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 11.1% 45.1%