NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS FLA
Points 66.8 78.3
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 21.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.7
Shooting TOWS FLA
Field Goals Made 22.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 59.4
Field Goal % 38.1% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 24.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 73.2%
Ball Control TOWS FLA
Rebounds 37.8 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 12.0
Turnovers 10.4 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.8
Steals 5.5 6.1
Fouls 17.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS FLA
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 74.0
% of Possessions with TOWS FLA
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 23.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 24.3%
Turnover 14.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS FLA
Shot Blocked 10.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 33.2%