NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU FLA
Points 79.0 85.3
Total Points   164.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 24.1
Points From Free Throws 18.5 18.6
Shooting LSU FLA
Field Goals Made 26.8 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 64.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 18.5 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 25.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 73.2%
Ball Control LSU FLA
Rebounds 34.8 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 13.4
Turnovers 11.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.7
Steals 7.1 7.5
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU FLA
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 79.8
% of Possessions with LSU FLA
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 21.1%
Turnover 14.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU FLA
Shot Blocked 9.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 34.9%