NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM CAL
Points 79.8 68.7
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 26.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.6
Shooting CLEM CAL
Field Goals Made 27.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 61.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 73.2%
Ball Control CLEM CAL
Rebounds 39.7 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.5
Turnovers 8.0 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.9
Steals 3.9 4.9
Fouls 13.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: California

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM CAL
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 72.9
% of Possessions with CLEM CAL
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 34.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.4%
Turnover 11.1% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM CAL
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.1%