NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST MARQ
Points 60.1 89.9
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 42.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 34.6
Points From Free Throws 10.4 12.9
Shooting JKST MARQ
Field Goals Made 21.5 32.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 59.3
Field Goal % 35.4% 55.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 68.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 10.4 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 18.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 68.8%
Ball Control JKST MARQ
Rebounds 33.2 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.3
Turnovers 13.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.9
Steals 6.0 7.7
Fouls 13.9 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST MARQ
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.9
% of Possessions with JKST MARQ
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 34.7%
Player Fouled 16.2% 19.4%
Turnover 19.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST MARQ
Shot Blocked 8.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 31.1%