NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO ARPB
Points 80.2 71.0
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 25.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 27.7
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.2
Shooting TXSO ARPB
Field Goals Made 28.7 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 54.6
Field Goal % 44.2% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 12.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 24.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.0%
Ball Control TXSO ARPB
Rebounds 42.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 6.8
Turnovers 8.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 1.3
Steals 6.4 4.1
Fouls 17.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX Southern

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO ARPB
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 77.8 68.9
% of Possessions with TXSO ARPB
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 32.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 34.2%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.8%
Turnover 12.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO ARPB
Shot Blocked 2.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 18.9%