NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS ALBY
Points 77.1 68.4
Total Points   145.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 21.9
Points From Free Throws 18.0 12.7
Shooting TOWS ALBY
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 58.4
Field Goal % 47.3% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 18.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 17.1
Free Throw % 66.3% 73.9%
Ball Control TOWS ALBY
Rebounds 42.4 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.5 9.2
Turnovers 11.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.1
Steals 6.5 6.5
Fouls 14.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS ALBY
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 68.4
% of Possessions with TOWS ALBY
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 26.2%
Player Fouled 22.7% 20.0%
Turnover 15.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.4% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 43.4% 25.6%