NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU TCU
Points 74.3 78.8
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 20.8
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.4
Shooting LSU TCU
Field Goals Made 25.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 60.9
Field Goal % 46.6% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.6
Free Throw % 73.3% 72.7%
Ball Control LSU TCU
Rebounds 32.6 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.4
Turnovers 14.3 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.2
Steals 6.8 9.5
Fouls 15.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU TCU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 75.0
% of Possessions with LSU TCU
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.2%
Turnover 19.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 12.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU TCU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 34.1%