NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM MIA
Points 78.8 68.6
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 27.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 10.7
Shooting CLEM MIA
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 61.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 11.5 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 14.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 71.6%
Ball Control CLEM MIA
Rebounds 39.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.6
Turnovers 8.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.0
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 12.8 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM MIA
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 70.0
% of Possessions with CLEM MIA
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 34.7%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.1%
Turnover 12.6% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM MIA
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 22.2%