NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO KU
Points 59.7 81.6
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 25.8 46.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 17.6
Points From Free Throws 11.4 17.2
Shooting TXSO KU
Field Goals Made 20.4 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.4
Field Goal % 33.8% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 36.2% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 11.4 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 24.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.4%
Ball Control TXSO KU
Rebounds 30.7 42.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.3
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.0
Steals 5.7 6.2
Fouls 16.5 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO KU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 71.3
% of Possessions with TXSO KU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 22.1%
Player Fouled 17.1% 22.9%
Turnover 15.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO KU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 29.7%