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Auburn at UCF
Mon Nov 30, 2020
7:00pm ET
Orlando, FL
Auburn at UCF: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Florida by 1.5, Total Points: 146.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 12-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 7-7-0 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alab A&M | -33.5 | W by 30 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | App State | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | USC | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Alabama St | -30.5 | W by 20 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Chattanooga | -20.5 | W by 35 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | U Penn | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 32 | +29.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | LSU | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mississippi | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Alabama | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miss State | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Carolina | -11.5 | W by 40 | +28.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss State | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 27 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Georgia | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Miss State | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Yale | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| UCF -1.5 | Open | +1.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2056 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Florida won the game 1172 times (57.0%).
- The team like Auburn won the game 884 times (43.0%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 1043-980-33 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Auburn did better against the spread, going 5-4 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 07:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 06:56 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/30 06:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:35 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:08 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:29 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:05 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:47 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:17 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:44 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/30 11:14 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/30 11:09 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 11/30 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/30 09:37 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:05 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:05 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:44 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:17 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/29 08:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/29 08:17 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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