NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB WVU
Points 85.6 64.5
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 17.3
Points From Free Throws 16.4 19.5
Shooting AUB WVU
Field Goals Made 29.6 19.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 54.2
Field Goal % 48.9% 36.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 37.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 16.4 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 27.7
Free Throw % 74.8% 70.4%
Ball Control AUB WVU
Rebounds 39.2 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.9
Turnovers 9.0 12.2
Blocked Shots 6.8 2.5
Steals 7.6 4.2
Fouls 18.6 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB WVU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 70.1
% of Possessions with AUB WVU
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 20.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.7%
Turnover 12.4% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB WVU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 11.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 25.6%