NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST SMU
Points 64.8 85.2
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 43.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 27.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.8
Shooting JKST SMU
Field Goals Made 22.7 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 63.4
Field Goal % 37.2% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 68.6%
Ball Control JKST SMU
Rebounds 33.9 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 15.5
Turnovers 12.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.2
Steals 6.5 7.7
Fouls 13.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Methodist

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST SMU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 76.8
% of Possessions with JKST SMU
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.7%
Turnover 17.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST SMU
Shot Blocked 10.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 42.7%