NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM PV
Points 72.0 63.7
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 11.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 14.9
Shooting GRAM PV
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 48.8 55.9
Field Goal % 50.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 3.8
3 Pointers Attempted 12.2 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 18.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 21.1
Free Throw % 70.7% 70.5%
Ball Control GRAM PV
Rebounds 36.4 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 19.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.5
Turnovers 15.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.8
Steals 6.4 7.9
Fouls 16.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM PV
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 68.8
% of Possessions with GRAM PV
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 15.1% 16.1%
Player Fouled 22.8% 22.5%
Turnover 21.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM PV
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 26.0%