NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS ELON
Points 73.4 61.1
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 25.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 23.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.6
Shooting TOWS ELON
Field Goals Made 26.7 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 52.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 68.8%
Ball Control TOWS ELON
Rebounds 42.9 28.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 19.7
Rebounds - Offensive 16.6 8.3
Turnovers 9.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.2
Steals 5.8 5.4
Fouls 15.2 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS ELON
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 63.0
% of Possessions with TOWS ELON
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.3% 23.2%
Turnover 15.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS ELON
Shot Blocked 4.3% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 45.7% 23.9%