NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC PORT
Points 70.5 78.4
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 30.3
Points From Free Throws 9.9 14.2
Shooting PAC PORT
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 56.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 9.9 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 20.1
Free Throw % 65.1% 70.9%
Ball Control PAC PORT
Rebounds 29.9 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 8.9
Turnovers 8.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.1
Steals 5.0 3.7
Fouls 16.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC PORT
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.2
% of Possessions with PAC PORT
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 35.4%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.1%
Turnover 11.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC PORT
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 27.1%