NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS HOF
Points 62.3 65.7
Total Points   128.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 26.3
Points From Free Throws 12.0 9.7
Shooting TOWS HOF
Field Goals Made 21.5 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 53.8
Field Goal % 38.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 12.0 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 13.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 73.2%
Ball Control TOWS HOF
Rebounds 39.7 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.5
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 13.9 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS HOF
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 61.4
% of Possessions with TOWS HOF
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 33.1%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.2%
Turnover 17.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS HOF
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 18.7%