NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS HOF
Points 68.2 71.2
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 27.7
Points From Free Throws 10.6 15.1
Shooting TOWS HOF
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 56.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 10.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 18.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.8%
Ball Control TOWS HOF
Rebounds 38.3 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 9.5
Turnovers 10.9 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.8
Steals 4.4 4.5
Fouls 16.7 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS HOF
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.8
% of Possessions with TOWS HOF
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 32.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 25.0%
Turnover 16.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS HOF
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 27.1%