NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN HOF
Points 71.3 71.3
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 24.4 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 27.2
Points From Free Throws 12.2 8.1
Shooting PRIN HOF
Field Goals Made 23.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 55.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 12.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 23.9 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 8.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 11.0
Free Throw % 78.3% 73.2%
Ball Control PRIN HOF
Rebounds 31.0 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 5.5
Turnovers 7.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.0 2.6
Steals 4.9 4.2
Fouls 11.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN HOF
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 62.2
% of Possessions with PRIN HOF
2 Point Attempt 32.3% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 43.4% 35.3%
Player Fouled 20.4% 17.5%
Turnover 11.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN HOF
Shot Blocked 4.8% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 18.4%