NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNST MURR
Points 65.3 73.6
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 18.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 17.3
Shooting TNST MURR
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 53.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 25.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 68.9%
Ball Control TNST MURR
Rebounds 30.4 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.9
Turnovers 13.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 4.6 6.7
Fouls 17.2 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST MURR
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 61.9 68.7
% of Possessions with TNST MURR
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 23.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 25.2%
Turnover 19.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST MURR
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 30.0%