NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST ULL
Points 66.4 80.1
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 24.3
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.8
Shooting JKST ULL
Field Goals Made 23.0 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 60.7
Field Goal % 40.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.6%
Ball Control JKST ULL
Rebounds 35.4 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.4
Turnovers 13.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.4
Steals 7.0 7.4
Fouls 13.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST ULL
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 72.5
% of Possessions with JKST ULL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.1%
Turnover 18.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST ULL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 33.3%