NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST FAMU
Points 74.4 68.6
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 16.1 10.3
Shooting JKST FAMU
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 58.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 15.1
Free Throw % 71.9% 68.1%
Ball Control JKST FAMU
Rebounds 37.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 9.5
Turnovers 10.4 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 7.8 5.3
Fouls 12.5 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST FAMU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 67.6
% of Possessions with JKST FAMU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 22.0%
Player Fouled 20.6% 17.3%
Turnover 14.4% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 27.6%