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LSU at Arkansas
Sat Feb 27, 2021
2:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
LSU at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 6.5, Total Points: 161.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-12-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 5-11-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -6.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3017 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 2200 times (72.9%).
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 817 times (27.1%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1507-1462-48 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 156 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 79-77 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 01:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/27 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/27 01:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 01:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:56 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 10:29 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:35 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/27 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/27 08:14 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 02/27 07:44 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/27 06:56 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/27 06:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 04:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 03:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/27 02:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 01:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/26 06:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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