NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM FSU
Points 79.1 69.0
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 17.3
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.2
Shooting CLEM FSU
Field Goals Made 26.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 57.9
Field Goal % 47.1% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 23.0
Free Throw % 77.8% 70.5%
Ball Control CLEM FSU
Rebounds 39.2 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.8
Turnovers 11.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 3.9 7.3
Fouls 16.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM FSU
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 71.8
% of Possessions with CLEM FSU
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 24.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.7%
Turnover 15.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM FSU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 23.1%