NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM FSU
Points 78.6 68.3
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 17.1
Points From Free Throws 19.0 16.0
Shooting CLEM FSU
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 57.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 19.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 22.7
Free Throw % 79.5% 70.5%
Ball Control CLEM FSU
Rebounds 39.3 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.5
Turnovers 11.4 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 3.9 7.4
Fouls 16.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM FSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 71.2
% of Possessions with CLEM FSU
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 23.8%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.6%
Turnover 15.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM FSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 22.3%