NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM SJSU
Points 65.6 69.1
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 24.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 9.4
Shooting GRAM SJSU
Field Goals Made 23.0 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 56.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 13.8
Free Throw % 70.7% 68.6%
Ball Control GRAM SJSU
Rebounds 34.3 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.9
Turnovers 10.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.3
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 12.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: San Jose St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM SJSU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 65.0
% of Possessions with GRAM SJSU
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 32.2%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.9%
Turnover 15.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM SJSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 23.8%