NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO JKST
Points 73.0 69.3
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.6 16.4
Shooting TXSO JKST
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 59.4
Field Goal % 42.9% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 13.6 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.9%
Ball Control TXSO JKST
Rebounds 37.4 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 13.1
Turnovers 11.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.2
Steals 6.1 6.3
Fouls 15.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO JKST
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 73.7
% of Possessions with TXSO JKST
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.4%
Turnover 16.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO JKST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 33.3%