NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO GRAM
Points 66.7 66.3
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 15.0
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.7
Shooting TXSO GRAM
Field Goals Made 23.3 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 53.1
Field Goal % 39.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 23.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.7%
Ball Control TXSO GRAM
Rebounds 36.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.6
Turnovers 11.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 6.2 5.9
Fouls 15.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO GRAM
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 67.6
% of Possessions with TXSO GRAM
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 18.6%
Player Fouled 19.6% 22.0%
Turnover 15.8% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO GRAM
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 27.6%