NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM JKST
Points 70.7 67.5
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.1
Shooting GRAM JKST
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 59.8
Field Goal % 46.2% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 19.6
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.9%
Ball Control GRAM JKST
Rebounds 34.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 14.1
Turnovers 12.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.3
Steals 6.4 6.8
Fouls 13.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM JKST
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 72.5
% of Possessions with GRAM JKST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 22.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 19.1%
Turnover 17.6% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM JKST
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 36.1%