NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM TXSO
Points 66.3 66.7
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 13.5
Shooting GRAM TXSO
Field Goals Made 22.3 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 58.6
Field Goal % 42.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 18.3
Free Throw % 70.7% 73.6%
Ball Control GRAM TXSO
Rebounds 35.6 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.8
Turnovers 11.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.9 6.2
Fouls 13.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM TXSO
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.4
% of Possessions with GRAM TXSO
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 26.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.6%
Turnover 16.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM TXSO
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 31.2%