NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST GRAM
Points 67.5 70.7
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.3
Shooting JKST GRAM
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 54.3
Field Goal % 39.6% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.7%
Ball Control JKST GRAM
Rebounds 37.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 9.4
Turnovers 11.3 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.6
Steals 6.8 6.4
Fouls 13.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST GRAM
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 66.9
% of Possessions with JKST GRAM
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.2%
Turnover 16.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST GRAM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 36.1% 29.1%