NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB MEM
Points 87.0 69.1
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 17.4
Points From Free Throws 16.6 21.2
Shooting AUB MEM
Field Goals Made 30.2 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 58.8
Field Goal % 48.3% 35.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 38.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 16.6 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 29.2
Free Throw % 74.8% 72.7%
Ball Control AUB MEM
Rebounds 40.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.4
Turnovers 11.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 7.9 3.3
Steals 6.9 7.5
Fouls 18.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB MEM
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 75.8
% of Possessions with AUB MEM
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 21.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 24.1%
Turnover 15.1% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB MEM
Shot Blocked 5.8% 12.8%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 32.3%