NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN MIZZ
Points 75.2 72.8
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.0 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 20.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 12.2
Shooting PRIN MIZZ
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 55.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 24.7 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 17.2 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 15.5
Free Throw % 78.3% 78.9%
Ball Control PRIN MIZZ
Rebounds 31.1 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.1
Turnovers 8.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 0.9 3.8
Steals 5.0 5.0
Fouls 13.7 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN MIZZ
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 65.2
% of Possessions with PRIN MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 32.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 38.7% 28.7%
Player Fouled 26.4% 20.2%
Turnover 12.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN MIZZ
Shot Blocked 6.9% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.6%