NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC CSF
Points 62.2 75.0
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 21.0
Points From Free Throws 14.4 17.2
Shooting PAC CSF
Field Goals Made 20.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 53.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 24.2
Free Throw % 65.1% 71.1%
Ball Control PAC CSF
Rebounds 29.0 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 8.9
Turnovers 11.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.3
Steals 4.8 5.9
Fouls 16.4 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC CSF
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 68.1
% of Possessions with PAC CSF
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 26.5%
Player Fouled 26.1% 23.8%
Turnover 16.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC CSF
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 27.9%